Microsoft VC Summit 2007

The day after Microsoft’s TellMe aquisition, I was at Microsoft’s eighth annual VC Summit.  Unfortunately, I missed Steve Ballmer’s opening discussion, which in my opinion, is always one of the most entertaining and informative sessions of the event.  For the last few years, Steve spoke at the end of the event but for some reason they switched it on us and had him at the beginning.  Anyway, I am waiting for some other bloggers to summarize his discussion.  Notice the picture I link to from Paul Jozefak’s blog titled "Expanding Platform to the Cloud."  I must say that I came away quite impressed by Microsoft’s progress in its cloud and Windows Live strategy.  Last year, all of the Windows Live talk seemed quite rushed, disjointed and forced and seemed it was more of a response to the market saying that Microsoft did not get the SAAS thing.  This year the strategy seemed much clearer and well defined and the executives knew how the Internet and cloud fit into all of the various business units.  In the end, Microsoft has made some huge strides and will certainly be worth watching over the next year.  In addition, as with each year, I did find the Microsoft executives more willing than ever to network with startups to fill gaps in their product line and to be a more open, gentler Microsoft versus years ago.  There is nothing like real competition to get a company to change its mindset.  Sure, they didn’t tell us much in the public sessions as sometimes you can come away with the impression that Microsoft is doing everything and the only opportunities for startups are niche verticals built on Microsoft’s platform.  But truth be told, if you actually did get a chance to spend some one-on-one time with the executives, you will find a much different story. Reflecting on that point, Microsoft made a little over 20 acquisitions last year and plans on doing a similar amount this year.  One sure way to not get any partnership done is openly ask the Microsoft executives, "How do I get my portfolio company acquired?"  The real point is to find and network with the key executives at the summit and figure out how the individual business unit’s process works on a partnership discussion and get that started.

The consumer mobile breakout session was one of the more informative discussions that I attended.  Basically as the world moves to three dominant operating systems for wireless (Symbian, Windows Mobile, and Linux), Microsoft will look to increase its penetration by leveraging an extensive development platform to allow third party partners to develop new consumer services which can be easily deployed via its worldwide carrier partners.  Naturally, one of the questions asked was if these apps only worked on Windows Mobile or across the various operating systems.  As you might suspect, these apps would likely work better on the Windows Mobile platform, but the Microsoft folks did stress that it does and has to work with other competing operating systems as well. The gaps that Microsoft was looking to fill through partnerships or acquisition were, broadly speaking: games/entertainment, location aware services, TV/video (although the one Microsoft executive acknowledged it was overhyped), ad management, mobile content mgmt, and billing and payments.  One of the value propositions offered by the Microsoft mobile folks was key relationships with carriers across the world.

Another engaging talk was Peter Moore’s (Corporate VP, Interactive Entertainment Business) presentation on Microsoft’s move into the digital home with its Xbox360.  Of course, after a long day, seeing a commercial for the yet-to-be-released Halo 3 was quite energetic and refreshing.  Interestingly enough, it is quite amazing to see that as these gaming machines get more powerful, the games themselves end up being the commercial (think about The Gears of War commercial on television).  Despite the fact that Peter could have spent hours demoing games, his presentation centered around the full featured entertainment capabilities of the device which included the ability to synch with other PCs in the home and buy movies, television shows, and music in a simple way.  Once again, it is amazing how much progress is being made throughout the many divisions at Microsoft and how the Internet and on-demand services are getting weaved into the very fabric of the applications and infrastructure.  For a large company, one year has made a huge difference.  Finally, one of the other recurring themes I heard throughout the day was the importance of advertising in many of its product lines ranging from mobile to MSN to the digital home and video gaming.  If there are other acquisitions to be done, I am sure that some interesting advertising related technology and services will be on their radar screen.

Just to be clear, this is not in any way, shape or form a Microsoft love-fest.  I am just pointing out that while so many people are counting them out that they have lots of cash, renewed energy, and a long-term view towards winning in their markets.

The fine line between dilution and delusion

It has been stated that there is a fine line between genius and insanity but who’s to tell where one ends and the other begins.  I can also say that there is a similarly fine line between dilution and delusion but this one is easier to draw.  Recently my partners and I were discussing the merits of a term sheet that came in for a portfolio company.  While the term sheet did not meet our expectations 100%, there were a number of strong points.  Unfortunately, the entrepreneur was not terribly pleased as he had a much higher expectation for round size and valuation in his head.  As we walked through the process for the current round of financing, my partners and I clearly understood that while we can guide the market with our pricing expectations, that ultimately the market decides.  So if faced with this situation, my only word of advice for entrepreneurs is that it is important to know that there is a fine line between dilution and delusion.  Talking to 1 or 2 investors does not ultimately give you a great idea of what you are worth and under that scenario I would encourage you to meet a number of folks to get an idea of what the market thinks about your business.  However, if you have already met a number of firms and they are giving you consistent feedback about how much money to raise and at what price, you may be delusional to keep pressing on in search of optimizing a valuation which no one is willing to pay.  In fact, to be clear, valuation isn’t everything and there are many situations where having too high a valuation for an early stage company can be detrimental as it can set unrealistic expectations for your team and your investors.  Being priced for perfection means that:

1. a company that is performing quite well may be still be viewed as a failure in the eyes of the existing investors and team. 

2. your company must really hit significant milestones to raise a next round of funding at a higher price.

3. it may take too long to raise funding to find the right investor who will pay the valuation you are looking for

4. a potentially great exit for your company may never happen because it doesn’t meet the bar for your last round of financing.

So if the market is giving you a strong signal, listen and remember there is more to a financing than price and you need to carefully balance a number of factors such as other terms in the deal, an investor’s ability to add value, and your ability to work with the lead partner and his firm.

Why vision statements matter

Vision statements matter.  Sometimes we get too focused on the daily bump and grind, the next product release, and forget about the big picture and what we are trying to accomplish (see an earlier post on Vision).  Trust me, the word vision became a dirty word during the bubble as many companies were long on vision and short on execution.  I am not advocating that we return to that environment, but I am strongly saying that companies do need a vision and that it can help them with their execution.

I went out to dinner a couple weeks ago with a few key executives at a portfolio company and as we started talking about future product direction, it seemed that we all had different ideas of where the company should go.  Seeing some confusion I tried to get us focused back on the basics when I asked the team what our vision was.  The first pitch was great and so were the others but unfortunately they were all different.  It is really hard to drive future product direction when your key executives can’t agree on what the company should be when it grows up.  In addition, it is quite difficult to get your employees on the same page without a simple, succinct vision.  Furthermore, it is hard to build word of mouth marketing without boiling down who you are and what you do in a memorable and short manner.  Yes, it can be challenging to distill everything you are doing into a short pitch but great companies are able to do this.  So let’s look at a few companies in the highly competitive video space that have managed to stand out from the crowd (other than YouTube) and break down their vision statements and taglines:

1. Metacafe: Metacafe is one of the world’s largest online video broadcasters with a global audience of 16 million unique visitors (comScore Media Metrix) watching over 400 million videos each month.  Using our VideoRank™ technology, Metacafe is the only site that mines the collective wisdom of its audience to filter and surface the most entertaining videos, making it the best place to both watch and distribute high quality video content.

Tagline: Serving the world’s best videos

(its saying I’m a pretty big player and it gives you the best videos,not just every video – secret sauce is its VideoRank technology)

2. Revver: Revver is a video-sharing platform built the way the internet really works. We support the free and unlimited sharing of media. Our unique technology tracks and monetizes videos as they spread virally across the web, so no matter where your creativity travels, you benefit.

Tagline: What if creativity could pay the rent?

(sounds a little techie-video sharing platform the way the internet works? the differentiation is in the fact you get paid-the vision sounds like it is more focused on the publisher than the consumer, secret sauce is its platform to pay creators)

So they are both video sharing sites but each has its unique spin to help its employees and users spread the word in a simple way.  In addition, I am sure that their respective vision statements helps guide their future product direction.  Revver probably asks itself, does my next release help me further strengthen my advantage as the best platform to get publishers paid.  Metacafe probably is constantly working to improve its community based voting and algorithms.

The trick is to make your vision broad enough to allow you to grow into it, yet be differentiated, and obviously simple to remember.  You want all of your employees when they are talking on the phone with customers or friends or even at cocktail parties to give a simple description of what your company does and how it does it.  You want the next degree of relationships to be able to explain just as easily as your employees – this is how great buzz builds.  You want your key product guys asking themselves how does this next release help our company continue to deliver against our vision.  So remember before launching into a variety of different directions, think long and hard about where you want the company to go and how to distill that vision into an understandable and simple pitch to help get the message out.  Take the simple litmus test at your next management meeting to see if you are all rowing in the same boat or different ones.  Doing this does not guarantee success but definitely helps get you and your team moving in the right and more importantly the SAME direction.

Bring out yer dead…I’m not dead

We all know that there is something different this time about the web startup market.  As I have written before, it costs next to nothing to get a service on the web (look at MyBlogLog as an example), the market is much bigger as broadband penetration has grown from 10% to 50% over the last 5 years, and I hope that we have all gotten more prudent with the amount of funding that startups initially need to get their service up and running.  This cuts both ways as a lower barrier to starting a company means a lot more competition in each market.  Given that, it is not surprising to me that a number of startups that have raised money over the last 12 months seem to be making the news in the blogosphere for laying off staff or even (GASP) going out of business.  The timing seems about right – startups raise about 12-18 months of cash to hit some key milestones and then either go out for more funding, get acquired or go out of business.  Until now, most of the news was centered around the first two paths.  So it is inevitable that we will hear about failures especially as management teams and investors make the hard decision to pull the plug early rather than plod along.  This also may mean that rationality is still with us as people understand that funding the 30th tagging site or 50th video site may not be the best use of capital. 

If there are always going to be 1-3 winners in a space, then more competitors equals more failures. Combine this with the fact that this new resurgence of web startups is much more publicized and transparent than the first generation.  So more startups and more news outlets and blogs means that we are only going to hear more and more bad news in 2007.  That’s ok.  We have to remember that in the echo chamber of the blogosphere, this news of death and layoffs seems to reverberate quite loudly.  Just because we hear about it and hear about it from more sources does not mean that the sky is falling.  From my perspective, this is no different than the past.  Startups are risky and a number won’t make it but some will hit it big.  In addition, startups have to be flexible and more often than not their business models will adapt once they are out in the market which means a layoff or two may happen.

This reminds of the scene from the movie Monty Python and The Holy Grail where the dead collector comes through town to clean up the streets.  As he pushes his cart through the town, people start piling up dead bodies.  However, one seemingly dead body claims he isn’t dead.  The same goes for web startups – we will see more bad news but that does not mean the market is over.  It also doesn’t mean that we shouldn’t write about the failures as we can all learn from them. 

Here is an excerpt from the movie:

The Dead Collector: Bring out yer dead.
[a man puts a body on the cart]
Large Man with Dead Body: Here’s one.
The Dead Collector: That’ll be ninepence.
The Dead Body That Claims It Isn’t: I’m not dead.
The Dead Collector: What?
Large Man with Dead Body: Nothing. There’s your ninepence.
The Dead Body That Claims It Isn’t: I’m not dead.
The Dead Collector: ‘Ere, he says he’s not dead.
Large Man with Dead Body: Yes he is.
The Dead Body That Claims It Isn’t: I’m not.
The Dead Collector: He isn’t.
Large Man with Dead Body: Well, he will be soon, he’s very ill.
The Dead Body That Claims It Isn’t: I’m getting better.
Large Man with Dead Body: No you’re not, you’ll be stone dead in a moment.

Just to be clear, the fact that it seems like more and more startups are running into hard times does not mean that the market is in serious trouble.  And while I believe the failure rate may be even higher in this go round, I also expect that the dollars lost per failure will be orders of magnitude lower than in the first Internet wave.  When the 30th tagging site or 50th video site have hard times, that is not cause for alarm.  What will scare me is if we start seeing more unproven startups raise significant amounts of first round capital at frothy valuations and spend it on Super Bowl commercials or if Google starts to hit the skids.

Communicating with your board

A couple weeks ago I sat down with a new CEO of one of our portfolio companies, and we discussed goals for 2007 and what I and the board expected of him.  Yes, there was your usual conversation about getting more customers, building out a team, and ramping up revenue while managing costs, but one of the most important points I made to him was in how to communicate with the board.  I can tell you that one area where many first-time CEOs fail is in communicating and working with their board.  Either they don’t give you enough information, they give you too much, or they feel that the only news to share is good news.  I have written a few posts in the past on board communication including We Don’t Like Surprises and the VC/Entrepreneur Relationship. Given how important this is, I thought I would share a few simple thoughts with you.

With respect to your information flow, make it timely, transparent, and relevant:

1. Timely: we don’t like surprises.  Tell me in advance.  When you think we are going to miss the quarter by a significant amount, don’t tell me 2 days before the end of the quarter, tell me as soon as you can.  We are partners and this gives us all an opportunity to prepare contingency plans in advance or control our hiring before we run into a wall.  CEOs who communicate well make sure the bad news travels just as quickly as the good news. If you don’t tell us early, we can’t help you.

2. Transparent: let me know as clearly and concisely what the issue is and don’t spin me.  Transparency means sharing the raw data with me as well as the short summary of why something happened positively or negatively. If we don’t get a deal this quarter, and you really don’t think it will happen, don’t keep it on the sales pipeline and set the wrong expectations for us.

3. Relevant: I don’t need to know every little detail of your day-to-day operations but we also do need to be apprised of what is important. Relevancy of course changes with company stage as well.  Knowing as soon as possible about the first couple of engineering hires is relevant in a startup but knowing about the 10th engineer does not require a real-time update.  If you not sure if a specific update is relevant, err on the side of more is better.  Sending an email update out to the board is simple, and trust me, if the news is important, those board members who are more engaged or concerned will reach out to you.  If it really is a big issue (positive or negative), I suggest calling a few of the board members to discuss with them. 

At the end of the day, information flow comes down to trust – board members trusting the CEO and the CEO trusting the board.  The CEO-Board relationship is a two way street.  Board members have to be just as direct, open, and upfront with respect to our expectations for the CEO and the management team.  This means getting a plan in place for the year that is discussed, vetted, and ultimately finalized which the board and the management team sign up to. If you abide by these simple rules, I can assure you that these tips will go a long way towards helping you build a very strong and healthy relationship with your board.  At the end of the day, keeping any relationship strong and thriving is dependent on how well everyone communicates with each other.

Bringing the Valley to New York

There are many things that I am thankful for this year, but one of the best things that could happen to the New York tech scene is the growth of Google.  Last year Google opened a huge office in Chelsea and moved about 500 employees into the new location.  While I initially thought that most of the staffers would be associated with advertising sales or content business development, through my various visits to the office I was surprised to learn that there were lots of engineers working on some significant projects in New York like Google Maps and Google Mobile Search.  There is an interesting article in today’s New York Times about the the Googleplex in Manhattan and how the Silicon Valley culture is being brought to New York. 

The strategy of keeping employees happy and committed to spending endless hours on campus seems to be working. Richard Burdon, 37, an engineer who joined Google two years ago, has been staying past midnight to prepare for the introduction of a project. (Google’s Manhattan engineers have been responsible for developing Google Maps and are working on some 100 other projects.)

“Google is about as interesting as starting your own startup because you can really follow your own ideas,” said Mr. Burdon, who previously worked for Goldman Sachs, Sony and I.B.M. The only time he could remember leaving the office during the workday was to buy a friend a birthday present.

As a New York-based venture capitalist, this is great news.  While many employees continue to enjoy the meteoric growth of the company, I am quite excited at the prospect of having hundreds of well-trained engineers and product managers in New York who will one day want to start their own company.  New York has always had a talented and core group of technologists, many of whom are working on startup number 2 or 3, but what gets me excited is the idea that many newbies to the startup and web culture will have the opportunity to experience the fast-paced, engineering driven world of Google.  It is precisely the engineers like Richard Burdon mentioned above who worked at major corporations like Goldman Sachs, Sony, and IBM, who may have never left their jobs for a startup but did so for Google.  It is also many of these engineers, once they get their feet wet in an engineer driven culture, who will eventually want to leave and start their own companies contributing to the continued emergence of New York as a great place to launch a web startup.

Small business startup kit for 2007 – mostly free!

A friend of mine called me the other day to ask for advice on what services (email, voice, apps) he should use to run his business with the caveat being that he wanted to spend as little upfront capital as possible and also have minimal ongoing maintenance headaches.  As I started thinking about his question, I remember what it was like setting up our office in 1998 and the headaches and cost of buying a Nortel phone system and phones and hiring a Microsoft networking expert to get our office set up for file sharing, back up, and email.  What a nightmare!  What was even worse was that we had to have this guy come in at least once a month for general maintenance.  So when we moved in the beginning of 2004, I vowed to outsource as much as possible.  In the end, here is what we did:

1. Exchange server – USA.net – pay monthly based on number of mailboxes and mailbox size and eliminates the headache of ongoing maintenance and backup.  also can add mobile devices like Blackberry, Good-enabled, etc. and easily provision without cap x.
2. Voice-outsourced VOIP, we have a direct pipe to a local provider, we leased some Cisco phones, and once again no upfront cap x and lots of great functionality, we pay a base monthly fee for unlimited calling.
3. Security – we bought some Cisco gear but have a small IT firm as our managed service provider remotely monitoring and updating the software with the latest patches and release.
4. Connectivity = We are networked internally on Windows and have a shared drive where we can access files.  In addition, we have a VPN for remote access to this share drive.
5. Productivity – Microsoft Office

Going back to my friend’s question, if I could set up my office now, here is what I would do:

1. Exchange server – I hate exchange and I would bail on this as soon as I can.  Instead, I would get all of my email and calendaring functionality through Google Apps for your domain – it is free and provides 2 gb of email, integrated calendaring with your email, chat and simple voice chat, and an ability to create simple web pages.  Yes this is basic but it is easy.  In addition, I expect a lot more to be offered once Jotspot is integrated along with some of the other basic Google Office apps such as word processing and spreadsheet functionality.  My one big beef which is holding me back right now is the lack of simple syncing with wireless devices.  There are some apps you can plug in to sync Google calendar but they still need some work.
2. Voice – if I want something more robust I would get a Fonality PBXtra for $995.  If you choose to go the really simple route, the PC-only VOIP providers of today have come a long way since 2004. I am partial to Gizmo Project (wait for our new version which will be accessible through a browser – also, full disclosure, I am on the board) but Skype and other services can once again offer you pretty decent voice communications and functionality like the ability to buy your own phone number, call forwarding, and dual ringing on your computer or cell phone.
3. Security – not as important if your files are hosted offline and backed up remotely (try xdrive which is free for 5 gb or box.net (free for 1gb). 
4. Connectivity – a simple wifi network in the office can get you simple file sharing without an IT professional’s help.  If you want to collaborate with remote workers, you can use a wiki like Jotspot  or Socialtext or some of the shared storage services I mention above.  As far as remote acccess, no VPN is needed as a simple GoToMyPc account ($19.95 per pc per month) or LogMeIn (free for base functionality) can get you the access that you need without the headaches and upfront cost of a VPN.
5. Productivity-Microsoft Office but the online apps are getting better and in fact for collaboration or sharing would consider Google Office apps like spreadsheets and writely

What is amazing to me is how far and how fast we have come during the last 2 years.  The big difference is that the functionality is even better and so is the price – mostly free!  Given this, I wonder what we will be looking at 2 years from now?  Yes, one problem is that all of the solutions I list above are dependent on having an Internet connection.  What if I am not online and need access to my calendar or some office documents?  Since this is a pretty clear problem, my prediction for 2007 is that online apps get better offline client like functionality.  Maybe it will be the new Adobe Apollo platform that makes it happen for us?  What is clear is that one of the benefits of SAAS for developers is that they don’t have to code in multiple platforms.  Once you start diving into the murky world of multiple operating systems and developing clients for Windows, Mac, and Linux, it can quickly become quite messy and resource intensive.  That is why I also see 2007 as the year that offline apps become big as the Apollo platform is released and allows web developers to build an application on one platform that can be deployed cross operating system.  Also keep an eye out for Microsoft’s WPF/e (windows presentation framework everywhere see an earlier post for more info on wpf).  This is a big deal and will help SAAS-based apps continue its upward trajectory and spread from consumers to SMBs and even further into enterprises.  As an example, take a look at Jeff Nolan’s recent post about how frustrated he is with Exchange and how GMail provides a nice alternative.  With the ability to get my whole office set up with a few clicks, it is no wonder that Microsoft is running scared and embracing SAAS rather than fighting it.

Setting unattainable goals can hurt your company

It is near the end of the year and I would hope by now that most companies have been through a revision or two of their strategic plan and budget for 2007.  While strategic planning and budgeting is a task that some may find quite onerous or even useless, it is an imperative process and one that will help align your team and continue driving the growth of your business.  Rather than go into a step-by-step walkthrough of this process, I thought it would be more helpful if I share with you the number one mistake I see made year in and year out – companies putting together plans and revenue targets which are unattainable. Look, we all want our companies to excel and stretch to reach their goals but at the same time setting a bar in the clouds can be detrimental to you and your company’s health.

Why is this a problem?  First, creating a plan that is too ambitious only sets you and the company up for failure.  People don’t like to fail and you and your employees can get demoralized after repeatedly missing targets by a significant amount and especially if your compensation is tied to a plan that will never be realized.  Secondly, in trying to hit an unattainable plan, management teams typically make another huge mistake – overhiring too early or frontloading all of their hires to spend their way to success.  What this does is speed up cash burn without delivering the desired results.  In an earlier post, I mentioned how hiring too far in advance of your market can lead to ruin:

"Do more with less and be careful of ramping up sales until you have a repeatable selling model.  In other words do not hire too many sales people and send them on a wild goose chase until you have built the right product, honed the value proposition, identified a few target markets with pain, and can easily replicate the sales process and model from some of your customer wins."

So just do yourself a favor when you build your strategic plan for next year – get input from all of the key stakeholders (sales, marketing, engineering), get them to buy off on the plan, and put together goals that force the company to perform at its best while at the same time being grounded in reality.  A good possible solution is for your company to lay out 2 plans – a baseline growth plan which the board approves and an upside plan that has a higher benchmark which the employees use as their goal.  What this does is allow companies to manage to a certain burn rate (baseline) but at the same time continue to push its teams to excel and deliver results.  If the company exceeds the baseline plan in a certain quarter, companies can always add a few more people to maintain the upside growth.

What startups can learn from Nintendo

James Surowiecki has a great article in the New Yorker this week about the new Nintendo Wii system, titled "In Praise of Third Place."  What James really asks is if you are a distant third in a market, how do you compete with the big boys?  In this case, Nintendo is slugging it out with Sony and Microsoft and rather than going into hand-to-hand combat, Nintendo has changed the game and the stakes – forget about being the most powerful and fastest machine but how about focusing on being the easiest to use with a significant differentiating feature – motion sensors.  James goes on to say:

The point is that business is not a sporting event. Victory for one company doesn’t mean defeat for everyone else. Markets today are so big—the global video-game market is now close to thirty billion dollars—that companies can profit even when they’re not on top, as long as they aren’t desperately trying to get there. The key is to play to your strengths while recognizing your limitations. Nintendo knew that it could not compete with Microsoft and Sony in the quest to build the ultimate home-entertainment device. So it decided, with the Wii, to play a different game entirely.

I would argue that rather than title the article "In Praise of Third Place" that it should be titled "In Praise of First Place" because what Nintendo did was slice and dice the multi-billion dollar gaming market so that it could be first place in a submarket (which is quite huge) that Nintendo has defined, that plays to its strengths, and that it can win.  This is a big deal and quite smart.  Even though Nintendo is a large company fighting even larger ones, this is a strategy that any startup can use – change the stakes and be the best in your new category.  This does not mean to slice ad infinitum until you get a market so small that it is irrelevant, but the point is that going into "hand-to-hand" combat with those with much greater resources can be quite hazardous to your health.  Take a look at an excerpt from an earlier post I wrote about competing with the big boys

First, as a startup you have to get away from a feature/function battle because you will always lose against a big boy.  If a customer has already bought a product from an incumbent, they are more often than not willing to stay with that incumbent if they can deliver the extra feature/function soon enough in a good enough way. What I like startups to do is win with the product roadmap and vision.  Show the prospect how you solve their needs today better than the incumbent but more importantly why you are different and how your approach will solve their future needs.  If you can differentiate on this level, it gives you a much better chance to win. 

Utility computing for the web and startups

There is a great BusinessWeek article outlining Amazon’s ambition to be a utility for web businesses.  This reminds me of a conversation I had last month with a founder and former CTO of one our of our prior portfolio companies who said his goal was to have a highly successful SAAS play with 1 operations guy instead of 20.  When I asked him how he would do it, he quite simply said Amazon – Amazon EC2 (Elastic Compute Cloud) and Amazon S3 for storage.  Sure, I had heard about this before when Amazon launched it during the summer, but what really got me thinking was that here was a guy who had been there and done it – scaled a SAAS business to incredible numbers and he had been playing around with Amazon’s infrastructure and was willing to offload a majority of his new startup’s business on the Amazon infrastructure.  When we talk about the commoditization of technology and how cheap it is to launch a new business on the web, we think open source and commodity servers. Now think about being able to launch a new web-based business and only paying for what you use.  If it takes you awhile to scale you don’t have to burn alot of capital upfront and only pay for minimal usage.  If you are hugely successful, then you don’t get caught with your pants down because you have the opportunity to quickly load a few more virtualized images on the Amazon EC2 infrastructure and pay more for that usage – bandwidth, storage, and compute time.  Think about it –  the upfront cost of starting a new web-based business if you went the Amazon route (when it is ready for primetime) has been driven down another order of magnitude as you can get started with little to no capital expenditures. The numbers are pretty incredible too – $0.15c per GB per month for storage or $150 per terabyte per month, $0.20c per GB for bandwidth, and the use of a pretty standard server (1.7Ghz x86 processor, 1.75GB of RAM, 160GB of local disk, and 250Mb/s of network bandwidth) for $0.10c per hour or $72 per server per month.  Not too bad when you think that you can scale up or scale down pretty easily.  It will be interesting to see how many startups look to use the Amazon infrastructure after it gets more publicized at the Web 2.0 conference.  As a startup, your job is to allocate your scarce resources as efficiently as possible – time and money.  If you can stretch either of these and give your company more of an opportunity to hit critical milestones or get better product out the door, then it is a huge win for you to spend your dollars on making that happen, rather than on capital equipment.